Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 6 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.28	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
41.9%

Emilio Nava
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 134. Nava is ranked ATP: 108.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nava could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Emilio Nava - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Liam Draxl - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Federico Bondioli - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Emilio Nava - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Emilio Nava - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	0:2
21.03.25	Emilio Nava - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	2:0
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	✺

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava