Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Marco Cecchinato		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.30	1.58
	2.18	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.19	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
41.4%

Marco Trungelliti
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cecchinato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Trungelliti (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 163., and Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 99..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 3.

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Trungelliti is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cecchinato has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.72%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.28%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Nick Hardt - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Filip Pieczonka - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Sean Cuenin - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Marco Trungelliti	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Marco Trungelliti	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:1
08.11.22	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
27.09.22	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled
ATP Umag
21.07.18	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.18	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	0:3
ATP Challenger
05.05.17	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	0:2

Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide