Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.48	1.50
	2.59	1.56
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.36	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.19)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
38.6%

Marco Cecchinato
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Cecchinato (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 238. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 166.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moro Canas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cecchinato could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Tiago Cacao - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Alejandro Moro Canas	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Remy Bertola - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Felix Balshaw - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LLW
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Nick Hardt - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Nicolas Kicker - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLW

Alejandro Moro Canas - Marco Cecchinato