Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.72	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.92	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)	1.95 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
52.3%

Luka Mikrut
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Mikrut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Mikrut (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Mikrut (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Trungelliti (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mikrut (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 183. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 340.

Recent performances by Trungelliti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mikrut is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Mikrut - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.61%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Marco Trungelliti - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Marco Trungelliti - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Marco Trungelliti - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWL
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Zdenek Kolar - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Luka Mikrut - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Henri Squire - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Luka Mikrut - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
19.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut	0:2

Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide