Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 21 August 2025, Thursday ๐ Finished Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) ๐ค๏ธ ... ๐ต HardWhere to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Belgium | 19:00 | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia And Herzegovina | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | 20:00 | HBO Max |
 Croatia | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Czech Republic | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Denmark | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Finland | 20:00 | HBO Max |
 France | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Hungary | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Moldova | 20:00 | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 North Macedonia | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Norway | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Poland | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Romania | 20:00 | HBO Max |
 Serbia | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Spain | 19:00 | HBO Max |
 Sweden | 19:00 | HBO Max |
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Christian Garin |
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Marco Trungelliti |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.29 |
|
3.5 |
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 |
1.28 |
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3.5 |
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 |
1.3 |
|
3.42 |
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 |
1.32 |
|
3.45 |
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 |
1.27 |
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3.66 |
 Watch |
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1.33 |
|
3.25 |
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 |
1.32 |
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3.33 |
Watch |
 |
1.48 |
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2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.48) |
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3.32 ↑
(2.45) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Christian Garin
71.5% | Marco Trungelliti
28.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Trungelliti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5 Games - Garin (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Christian Garin will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% โ 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Christian Garin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Garin (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Garin is ranked ATP: 127. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 183.Garin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Trungelliti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Garin is a strong favorite. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
