Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KIGALI 2 (RWANDA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Marco Trungelliti		Mohamed Safwat

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.17	4.4	Watch
	1.2	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.63
	1.22	4.64
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.21	4.08	Watch
	1.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	4.34 ↑ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
78.2%

Mohamed Safwat
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Mohamed Safwat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mohamed Safwat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mohamed Safwat than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marco Trungelliti - Mohamed Safwat Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Safwat is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trungelliti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trungelliti is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
06.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Mohamed Safwat
ATP Challenger
06.03.24	Juan Pablo Paz - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
05.03.24	Mohamed Safwat - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Juan Pablo Paz - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Mohamed Safwat - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Timofey Skatov - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.09.19	Mohamed Safwat - Marco Trungelliti	1:2
28.06.16	Marco Trungelliti - Mohamed Safwat	2:1

Marco Trungelliti - Mohamed Safwat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide