Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KIGALI 2 (RWANDA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday


	Mohamed Safwat		Max Houkes

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.38
	3.01	1.41
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.96	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohamed Safwat
31.7%

Max Houkes
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohamed Safwat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mohamed Safwat than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Mohamed Safwat - Max Houkes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safwat is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Houkes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Safwat could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Houkes is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohamed Safwat
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Juan Pablo Paz - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Mohamed Safwat - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Timofey Skatov - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Egor Gerasimov - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.02.24	Oliver Ojakaar - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLL
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
01.03.24	Max Houkes - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
29.02.24	Corentin Denolly - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Preston Brown - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Alafia Ayeni - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.24	Cezar Cretu - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

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