Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - Final

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Marcos Giron		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.58	2.52
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)	2.35 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
60.1%

Ethan Quinn
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcos Giron's performance.

Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethan Quinn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethan Quinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 69. Quinn is ranked ATP: 73.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giron won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Nuno Borges - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Billy Harris - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	2:0
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.25	Ethan Quinn - Marcos Giron	0:2

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