Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Ethan Quinn		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.48	2.49
	1.52	2.65
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	2.5 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethan Quinn
62.5%

Alexander Shevchenko
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Ethan Quinn - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Quinn is ranked ATP: 73. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 88.

Recent form of Quinn has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Shevchenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Quinn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Quinn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quinn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ethan Quinn - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Shevchenko - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethan Quinn
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Ethan Quinn - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Ethan Quinn - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Trevor Svajda - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Ethan Quinn	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLW?
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Quentin Halys - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Ethan Quinn	2:3

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