Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Marcos Giron		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.28	1.38
	3.18	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.39	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	1.35 (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
29.3%

Jakub Mensik
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Mensik will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Giron (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 69. Mensik is ranked ATP: 12.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mensik is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 70%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	1:3

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