Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport, Ziggo Sport Select, Ziggo Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Marcos Giron		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.71	2.07	Watch
	1.71	2.25
	1.71	2.25
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.95)	2.14 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
55.6%

Francisco Cerundolo
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcos Giron's performance.

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	0%	16%

Marcos Giron - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (42 of 50 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.84% – 94.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Halle
21.06.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
20.06.24	Matteo Berrettini - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Marcos Giron - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.24	Marcos Giron - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
11.06.24	Marcos Giron - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP London
18.06.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
01.06.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
30.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Filip Misolic	3:0 ✺
27.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

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