Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.61
	1.49	2.61	Watch
	1.54	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.33)	2.5 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
61.8%

Marcos Giron
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubert Hurkacz's form might have worsened.

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcos Giron's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Hubert Hurkacz - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Giron will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 71. Giron is ranked ATP: 85.

Hurkacz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Giron has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hurkacz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.88%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
03.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Casper Ruud - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WWWL
- Marcos Giron
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Marcos Giron - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Marcos Giron - Cruz Hewitt	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Marcos Giron - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Marcos Giron - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Marcos Giron - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
12.05.25	Marcos Giron - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Marcos Giron - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Halle
21.06.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Marcos Giron	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Marcos Giron	3:0

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