Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: METZ (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Marcos Giron		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.87
	1.9	1.88	Watch
	1.98	1.9
	1.96	1.93
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.12)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
48.8%

Lorenzo Sonego
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Sonego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Marcos Giron - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sonego will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Paris
31.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Dominik Koepfer - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
21.10.23	Ben Shelton - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Paris
28.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Marcos Giron - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide