Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: VIENNA (AUSTRIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.2
	1.74	2.2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.77	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.84)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
55%

Francisco Cerundolo
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Lorenzo Sonego - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sonego won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Vienna
22.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
18.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
16.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LW?LW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
ATP Tokyo
17.10.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Marton Fucsovics - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
28.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1

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