Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fairfield, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Marek Gengel		Edward Winter

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.49	1.56
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.49	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.84)	1.52 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Gengel
38.4%

Edward Winter
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marek Gengel's form might have worsened.

Edward Winter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edward Winter's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Gengel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edward Winter, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marek Gengel - Edward Winter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gengel is ranked ATP: 245. Winter is ranked ATP: 536.

Gengel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Winter is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Winter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Winter will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marek Gengel - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Edward Winter - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Marek Gengel - Evan Bynoe	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Marek Gengel	Gengel M. retired ✺
16.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Arthur Bouquier - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WL?WL
- Edward Winter
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Olle Wallin - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Edward Winter - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Edward Winter - Axel Nefve	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Edward Winter - Bor Artnak	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Maxwell McKennon - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW

Marek Gengel - Edward Winter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide