Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Mats Rosenkranz		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.24
	1.50	2.49	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	2.22 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mats Rosenkranz
57.7%

Marek Gengel
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mats Rosenkranz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mats Rosenkranz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Gengel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mats Rosenkranz - Marek Gengel Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rosenkranz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gengel will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gengel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 314. Gengel is ranked ATP: 248.

Rosenkranz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gengel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gengel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rosenkranz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rosenkranz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Cooper Williams	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Harry Wendelken - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	James Story - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Marek Gengel	Gengel M. retired ✺
16.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Arthur Bouquier - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Marek Gengel - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Marek Gengel - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1
ITF Tournaments
08.06.21	Marek Gengel - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2

Mats Rosenkranz - Marek Gengel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide