Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SYDNEY (AUSTRALIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Marek Gengel		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	2.62	1.44
	2.65	1.42
	2.6	1.48
	2.55	1.43
	2.74	1.48
	2.62	1.44
	2.7	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.11)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Gengel
35.4%

Marc Polmans
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marek Gengel's form might have worsened.

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marc Polmans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Gengel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marc Polmans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Marek Gengel - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gengel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Polmans will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gengel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polmans in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Polmans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Polmans will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Polmans to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
03.11.22	Marek Gengel - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
31.10.22	Jeremy Beale - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
26.10.22	Marek Gengel - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
24.10.22	Marek Gengel - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
03.11.22	Marc Polmans - Mark Whitehouse	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Yuta Shimizu - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Jose-Rubin Statham - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
20.10.22	Marc Polmans - Radu Albot	Polmans M. retired ✺
18.10.22	Marc Polmans - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWW?W

Marek Gengel - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide