Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Tianjin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tianjin 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maria Kalyakina		Chenting Zhu

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Maria Kalyakina
43.1%

Chenting Zhu
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Chenting Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chenting Zhu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 575. Zhu is ranked WTA: 684.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Jiayi Wang	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Alexandra Malova - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Riko Kikawada - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Jiho Shin - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Alina Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL
- Chenting Zhu
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Anna Snigireva - Chenting Zhu	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Yuyao Li - Chenting Zhu	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Jiayu Xu - Chenting Zhu	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Jiaqi Wang - Chenting Zhu	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	On Yu Choi - Chenting Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chenting Zhu
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Ariadna Garcia-Patron Canals - Chenting Zhu	✺

Maria Kalyakina - Chenting Zhu