Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Luan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maria Kalyakina		Yushan Shao

	1	2
	1.88	1.94
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)	1.95 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Kalyakina
52.1%

Yushan Shao
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Yushan Shao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yushan Shao than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Maria Kalyakina - Yushan Shao Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kalyakina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shao will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 654. Shao is ranked WTA: 977.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kalyakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalyakina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Maria Kalyakina - Ye Eun Kim	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Maria Kalyakina - Ho Ching Wu	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Xiyu Wang - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Yujia Huang - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Boyoung Jeong - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Yushan Shao
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Xiaowei Li - Yushan Shao	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Xiao Tang - Yushan Shao	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Yushan Shao - Varvara Panshina	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Yushan Shao - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Sofya Lansere - Yushan Shao	Lansere S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Maria Kalyakina - Yushan Shao	2:1

Maria Kalyakina - Yushan Shao