Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Maria Lourdes Carle		Carol Zhao

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.36	2.95
	1.46	2.65
	1.49	2.67
	1.47	2.65	Watch
	1.36	3
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
65.9%

Carol Zhao
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Zhao will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 1 - 50%). Zhao (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 118. Zhao is ranked WTA: 232.

In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhao has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carle is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Dalila Jakupovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Iasi
18.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Elina Avanesyan - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Patricia Maria Tig - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- Carol Zhao
WTA Cincinnati
06.08.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Carol Zhao	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
26.07.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Carol Zhao	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Carol Zhao - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Sara Daavettila - Carol Zhao	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Carol Zhao - Fiona Crawley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bogota
03.04.23	Carol Zhao - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1
ITF Tournaments
24.11.21	Carol Zhao - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1

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