Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Hechingen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Nikola Bartunkova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.68	2.05
	1.79	1.95
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.51)	1.99 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
53.4%

Nikola Bartunkova
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikola Bartunkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikola Bartunkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 120. Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 328.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bartunkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Lourdes Carle - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Dalila Jakupovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Iasi
18.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Elina Avanesyan - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Patricia Maria Tig - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Nikola Bartunkova
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Petra Sedlackova - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Franziska Sziedat	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

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