Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Sorana Cirstea

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.44	Watch
	2.94	1.45
	2.78	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.76	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.68)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
34.2%

Sorana Cirstea
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sorana Cirstea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Sorana Cirstea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 40%). Cirstea (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Carle (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sorana Cirstea will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cirstea (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 124. Cirstea is ranked WTA: 166.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cirstea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cirstea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Iasi
17.07.25	Elina Avanesyan - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Patricia Maria Tig - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Sada Nahimana - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Iasi
17.07.25	Sorana Cirstea - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Sorana Cirstea - Mihaela Buzarnescu	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Hailey Baptiste - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
21.06.25	Sorana Cirstea - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Sorana Cirstea	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLL?

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