Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Eva Vedder

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2.00
	1.75	1.9
	1.84	2.04
	1.76	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.98
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.52)	1.98 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
53%

Eva Vedder
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Eva Vedder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eva Vedder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Vedder than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Maria Lourdes Carle - Eva Vedder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 220. Vedder is ranked WTA: 197.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vedder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Lourdes Carle - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Eva Vedder - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Gina Feistel	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Valeriya Strakhova - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Mathilde Lollia - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.26	Vendula Valdmannova - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Eva Vedder
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Eva Vedder - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.08.26	Eva Vedder - Sohyun Park	0:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
20.07.26	Eva Vedder - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Eva Vedder - Georgina Garcia Perez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW

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