Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Katarina Jokic

	1	2
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.18	4.4
	1.24	4.12
	1.33	3.06	Watch
	1.13	4.95	Watch
	1.16	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.36)	4.3 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
78.1%

Katarina Jokic
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.

Katarina Jokic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katarina Jokic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarina Jokic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarina Jokic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maria Lourdes Carle - Katarina Jokic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 137. Jokic is ranked WTA: 315.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carle is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Fernanda Labrana	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Martina Colmegna - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Katarina Jokic
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Katarina Jokic - Valeriya Strakhova	Strakhova V. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Kristina Novak - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Romina Dominguez Garcia - Katarina Jokic	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Viktoria Hruncakova - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Katarina Jokic - Thea Frodin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?LWLW

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