Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Polona Hercog

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.76	2.09
	1.69	2.22
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.19	Watch
	1.77	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
55.1%

Polona Hercog
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Hercog will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hercog: 26.7% – 80.9%.

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Preview

Carle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hercog is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
06.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Valeriya Strakhova	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Diane Parry - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Ipek Oz - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
05.12.23	Polona Hercog - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Polona Hercog - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Polona Hercog - Valeriya Strakhova	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog	Canceled ✺
27.11.23	Carole Monnet - Polona Hercog	Monnet C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog	1:2
ITF Tournaments
23.09.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog	2:0

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