What is the expert prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle vs Polona Hercog?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Maria Lourdes Carle vs Polona Hercog. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Maria Lourdes Carle vs Polona Hercog Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, December 07, 2023)

Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Polona Hercog

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.76	2.09
	1.69	2.22
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.19	Watch
	1.77	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
55.1%

Polona Hercog
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Hercog will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hercog: 26.7% – 80.9%.

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Preview

Carle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hercog is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
06.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Valeriya Strakhova	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Diane Parry - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Ipek Oz - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
05.12.23	Polona Hercog - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Polona Hercog - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Polona Hercog - Valeriya Strakhova	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog	Canceled ✺
27.11.23	Carole Monnet - Polona Hercog	Monnet C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog	1:2
ITF Tournaments
23.09.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog	2:0

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Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide