Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (USA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Yuki Naito

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.87
	1.77	1.95
	1.79	1.95
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.46)	1.94 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
52.3%

Yuki Naito
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Yuki Naito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuki Naito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuki Naito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Lourdes Carle - Yuki Naito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Naito is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carle will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
19.04.23	Ashlyn Krueger - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
WTA Bogota
03.04.23	Carol Zhao - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Lena Papadakis - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Makenna Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
20.04.23	Yuki Naito - Allura Zamarripa	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Yuki Naito - Samantha Crawford	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Yuki Naito	2:1 ✺
23.03.23	Yuki Naito - Alana Parnaby	1:2 ✺
20.03.23	Yuki Naito - Alexandra Osborne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Maria Lourdes Carle - Yuki Naito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide