Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Ilkley (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday


	Mariam Bolkvadze		Harmony Tan

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.25	1.55
	2.41	1.52
	2.41	1.53
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.24	1.6	Watch
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.64)	1.51 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariam Bolkvadze
38.4%

Harmony Tan
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariam Bolkvadze's form might have worsened.

Harmony Tan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harmony Tan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariam Bolkvadze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harmony Tan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mariam Bolkvadze - Harmony Tan Predictions

Users Predictions: Harmony Tan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Tan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bolkvadze will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariam Bolkvadze
ITF Tournaments
15.06.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Ankita Raina	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Su Jeong Jang - Mariam Bolkvadze	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Xinyu Gao - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
08.06.24	Alison Van Uytvanck - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
07.06.24	Greetje Minnen - Harmony Tan	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Katy Dunne - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Harmony Tan - Kayla Day	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.24	Julia Riera - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

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