Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cherbourg-en-Cotentin 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mariam Bolkvadze		Harmony Tan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.20	1.60
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.18	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariam Bolkvadze
41.5%

Harmony Tan
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariam Bolkvadze's form might have worsened.

Harmony Tan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harmony Tan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariam Bolkvadze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harmony Tan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mariam Bolkvadze - Harmony Tan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolkvadze is ranked WTA: 339., and Tan is ranked WTA: 215..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Tan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tan in today's match, at odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bolkvadze has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Harmony Tan - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariam Bolkvadze
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Mariam Bolkvadze - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Berfu Cengiz - Mariam Bolkvadze	1:2 ✺
20.10.26	Mariam Bolkvadze - Nahia Berecoechea	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Mariam Bolkvadze - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Harmony Tan - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Harmony Tan - Lian Tran	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Harmony Tan - Zongyu Li	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Harmony Tan - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Harmony Tan - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0
ITF Tournaments
19.06.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Harmony Tan	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Sada Nahimana - Harmony Tan	✺

Mariam Bolkvadze - Harmony Tan