Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Mariano Kestelboim		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Kestelboim
41.8%

Gonzalo Villanueva
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Kestelboim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kestelboim will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villanueva will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 424. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 396.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Villanueva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kestelboim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Kestelboim
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Alex Barrena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.04.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva	Kestelboim M. retired
30.01.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0
ITF Tournaments
19.02.20	Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2

Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide