Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday


	Mariano Kestelboim		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	2.34	1.56	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.24)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Kestelboim
47.9%

Michael Vrbensky
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Kestelboim's performance.

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kestelboim will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Vrbensky will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Kestelboim will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 395. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 497.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vrbensky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vrbensky could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Kestelboim
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Alessio Balestrieri	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Maxime Janvier - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Michael Vrbensky - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Michael Vrbensky - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Guillen Meza A. retired ✺
07.07.25	Hynek Barton - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLL?W

Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide