Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Michael Vrbensky		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.52	1.54
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.65)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
38.5%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Vrbensky that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvaro Guillen Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Michael Vrbensky - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vrbensky will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vrbensky: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vrbensky (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 500. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 233.

Vrbensky has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guillen Meza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guillen Meza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.59%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Hynek Barton - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Michael Vrbensky - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Hynek Barton - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Saba Purtseladze - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Michael Vrbensky - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide