Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Mariano Navone		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.6	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.21	4.23	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	4.06	Watch
	1.22	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	3.92 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
76.1%

Arthur Rinderknech
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 61. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 74.

Recent matches Navone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rinderknech is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Navone is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Laslo Djere - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LWLL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

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