Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Rinderknech		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.6
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.08)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
40.9%

Reilly Opelka
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Users Predictions: Reilly Opelka will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 73. Opelka is ranked ATP: 114.

Rinderknech is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Opelka is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Opelka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rinderknech won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLL?L
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Christopher Eubanks - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Tommy Paul - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Reilly Opelka - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2

Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide