Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTOFAGASTA (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Mariano Navone		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.29
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	2.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.31)	2.12 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
54.2%

Gustavo Heide
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Heide's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gustavo Heide, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Mariano Navone - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Heide will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heide: 44.1% – 94.3%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Navone is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
15.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mariano Navone	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
14.09.23	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Matias Soto - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W??WW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Francisco Comesana - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	David Jorda Sanchis - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	Gustavo Heide - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Gustavo Heide - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW

Mariano Navone - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide