Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUEDENSCHEID (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday


	Mariano Navone		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.55	1.5
	2.7	1.49
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.11)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
36.6%

Pedro Martinez Portero
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mariano Navone - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
09.07.23	Mariano Navone - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
07.07.23	Mariano Navone - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
06.07.23	Mariano Navone - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Mariano Navone - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
25.07.23	Mathias Bourgue - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
21.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Marcello Serafini - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Peter Gojowczyk - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.03.23	Mariano Navone - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2

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