Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Marie Bouzkova		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.01	1.76
	2.14	1.81
	2.07	1.79	Watch
	2.09	1.78
	2.28	1.65	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Bouzkova
45.6%

Elise Mertens
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Bouzkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.8%	0%	45.2%

Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Bouzkova will win (votes: 17 - 54.8%). Mertens will win (votes: 14 - 45.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouzkova: 37.3% – 72.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 23. Mertens is ranked WTA: 27.

Bouzkova has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mertens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Mertens will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bouzkova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Bouzkova
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Tyra Caterina Grant - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Talia Gibson - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
21.06.26	Marie Bouzkova - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Karolina Pliskova - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.26	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Elise Mertens - Maria Timofeeva	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Elise Mertens - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.26	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.23	Elise Mertens - Marie Bouzkova	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.22	Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. walkover

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