The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marie Bouzkova 25.9%
Jessica Pegula 74.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
65.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
67.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marie Bouzkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marie Bouzkova's form might have worsened.
Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marie Bouzkova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
0%
38.5%
Marie Bouzkova - Jessica Pegula Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bouzkova will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bouzkova: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Bouzkova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Pegula is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Pegula could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Pegula is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.3.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bouzkova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.