Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Horb, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Marie Vogt		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	3.2	1.3
	3.42	1.28	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	3.26	1.3	Watch
	2.38	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.38)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt
33.2%

Mia Ristic
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marie Vogt's form might have worsened.

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mia Ristic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marie Vogt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mia Ristic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vogt is ranked WTA: 536. Ristic is ranked WTA: 314.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vogt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ristic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
18.07.25	Marie Vogt - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Marie Vogt - Antonia Schmidt	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Nina Vargova - Marie Vogt	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Marie Vogt - Aneta Kucmova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Marie Vogt - Noma Akugue Noha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- Mia Ristic
WTA Iasi
14.07.25	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Mia Ristic	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Mia Ristic - Martha Matoula	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Mia Ristic - Karolina Mrazikova	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Mia Ristic - Simona Ogescu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW

Marie Vogt - Mia Ristic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide