Match Info

Date: 18 February 2020, Tuesday


	Marin Cilic		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.2
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.07
	1.36	3.38
	1.33	3.3
	1.31	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (2.2)	3.24 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
70.8%

Ilya Ivashka
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marin Cilic's performance.

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilya Ivashka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-32.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marin Cilic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+32.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilya Ivashka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	0%	8.8%

Marin Cilic - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (52 of 57 users predict this - 91.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.89% – 98.57%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Marseille
17.02.20	Marin Cilic - Filip Krajinovic	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
25.01.20	Milos Raonic - Marin Cilic	3:0 ✺
23.01.20	Marin Cilic - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:2 ✺
21.01.20	Benoit Paire - Marin Cilic	2:3 ✺
20.01.20	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 ?LWWW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Marseille
17.02.20	Alexei Popyrin - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
16.02.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.20	Ilya Ivashka - Julian Ocleppo	1:2 ✺
13.02.20	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
11.02.20	Mukund Sasikumar - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Marin Cilic - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide