Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Marin Cilic		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.63	1.5
	2.55	1.51
	2.66	1.52
	2.48	1.50	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
36.2%

Corentin Moutet
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Change in tournament draw.

Cilic is ranked ATP: 97. Moutet is ranked ATP: 37.

Cilic has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Moutet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moutet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Marin Cilic - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Beijing
28.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.25	Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Etcheverry T. M. retired ✺
20.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Cilic M. walkover
ATP Australian Open
20.01.20	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	3:0

Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide