Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Marina Bassols Ribera		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.41	3.05
	1.4	2.78	Watch
	1.39	2.95
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	2.77 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Bassols Ribera
66.1%

Arantxa Rus
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Bassols Ribera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marina Bassols Ribera's performance.

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arantxa Rus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marina Bassols Ribera - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rus will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 144. Rus is ranked WTA: 183.

Bassols Ribera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bassols Ribera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bassols Ribera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Marina Bassols Ribera - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.52%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Robin Montgomery	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Xiyu Wang - Marina Bassols Ribera	Wang Xiy. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Lola Radivojevic - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LL?WL
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Leonie Rabl - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Lia Karatancheva - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Sarah Van Emst - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Martina Capurro Taborda - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Marina Bassols Ribera - Arantxa Rus	0:2
14.05.21	Arantxa Rus - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0

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