Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.32	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.79)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
46.1%

Alex Molcan
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mark Lajal's form might have worsened.

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mark Lajal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Molcan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mark Lajal - Alex Molcan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 156. Molcan is ranked ATP: 203.

Lajal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Molcan is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Mark Lajal - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Mark Lajal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Mark Lajal - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Justin Engel - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Tom Paris - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Alex Molcan - Kimmer Coppejans	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Alex Molcan - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Alex Molcan - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ??WWW

Mark Lajal - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide