Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mark Lajal		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2	1.73
	1.83	1.88
	2.12	1.63	Watch
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
47.8%

Otto Virtanen
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Lajal (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mark Lajal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajal (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 148. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 141.

Lajal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtanen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Virtanen will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Athens
01.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Mark Lajal - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Mark Lajal - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Mark Lajal - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Gauthier Onclin - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
31.10.26	Moise Kouame - Otto Virtanen	✺

Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen