Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Mark Lajal		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.63	1.5
	2.64	1.51
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.69	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.08)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
36.4%

Gastao Elias
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mark Lajal's form might have worsened.

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gastao Elias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mark Lajal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gastao Elias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mark Lajal - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: Gastao Elias will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lajal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elias is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lajal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Elias to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Mark Lajal - Titouan Droguet	Canceled ✺
26.02.24	Radu Albot - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Mark Lajal - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Michael Geerts - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Lucas Poullain - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 ?LLLW
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Gastao Elias - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Gastao Elias - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Gastao Elias - Nikola Djukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Mark Lajal - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide