Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Mark Lajal		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.29
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.99)	2.26 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
57.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Martin Etcheverry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Mark Lajal - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajal: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajal (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Etcheverry (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 149. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 63.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lajal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.63%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Stockholm
12.10.25	Ethan Quinn - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Rei Sakamoto - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
27.09.25	Mark Lajal - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Mark Lajal - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?LW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	David Goffin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Etcheverry T. M. retired ✺
20.09.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Damir Dzumhur - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ??WW?

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