Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Rei Sakamoto		Mark Lajal

	1	2
			Watch
	2.38	1.51	Watch
	2.22	1.68
	2.48	1.51	Watch
	2.32	1.57	Watch
	1.99	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.99)	1.6 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
41.3%

Mark Lajal
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rei Sakamoto's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rei Sakamoto - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lajal will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 188. Lajal is ranked ATP: 146.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Rei Sakamoto - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Rei Sakamoto - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
27.09.25	Mark Lajal - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Mark Lajal - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Mark Lajal - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Mark Lajal - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWWW

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