Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Corentin Moutet		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.78
	2.02	1.76	Watch
			Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.88)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
44.5%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 Games - Etcheverry (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Moutet (votes: 7 - 70%). Etcheverry (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 39. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 63.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Moutet - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Dino Prizmic - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Damir Dzumhur - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Corentin Moutet	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2

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