Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 5 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.48	2.7
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	2.62 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
64.3%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yasutaka Uchiyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Mark Lajal - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajal: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 235. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 149.

Recent matches Lajal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uchiyama is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lajal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lajal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lajal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Henrique Rocha - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Mark Lajal - Cleeve Harper	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Mark Lajal - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Ovcharenko O. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWL?L
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Harold Mayot - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.08.24	Mark Lajal - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2
13.07.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Mark Lajal	1:2

Mark Lajal - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide