Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Marko Topo		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.87
	1.06	8.20	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.05)	3.1 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
64%

Ugo Blanchet
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marko Topo's performance.

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Blanchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marko Topo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Blanchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marko Topo - Ugo Blanchet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Topo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Marko Topo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 257. Blanchet is ranked ATP: 160.

Topo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Blanchet has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Topo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Marko Topo - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.15%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Marko Topo - Marc-Andrea Huesler	Topo M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.26	Marko Topo - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Marko Topo - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Marko Topo - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Marko Topo - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?LWWW
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Ugo Blanchet - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Martin Krumich - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWL?

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