Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ystad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Marlon Vankan		Axel Garcian

	1	2
	1.6	2.22
	2.49	1.45	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.6)	1.84 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlon Vankan
47.3%

Axel Garcian
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marlon Vankan's form might have worsened.

Axel Garcian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Axel Garcian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marlon Vankan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Axel Garcian than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Axel Garcian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marlon Vankan - Axel Garcian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vankan is ranked ATP: 887. Garcian is ranked ATP: 757.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Garcian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vankan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vankan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Marlon Vankan - Andrea Fiorentini	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Marlon Vankan - Denis Petak	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Marlon Vankan - Stijn Slump	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Marlon Vankan - Jacopo Bilardo	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Marlon Vankan - Denis Petak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Axel Garcian
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Kenny De Schepper - Axel Garcian	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Axel Garcian - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Axel Garcian - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Axel Garcian	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Axel Garcian - Jakub Filip	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.08.23	Axel Garcian - Marlon Vankan	Garcian A. retired

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