Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: ADELAIDE (AUSTRALIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday


	Marta Kostyuk		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.57	1.57
	2.57	1.57
	2.5	1.53
	2.53	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.94)	1.53 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
37.5%

Jelena Ostapenko
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kostyuk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostapenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ostapenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ostapenko to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kostyuk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Adelaide
09.01.24	Taylor Townsend - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
05.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Laura Siegemund	Canceled ✺
WTA Brisbane
02.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Ana Bogdan - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?LW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Adelaide
10.01.24	Caroline Garcia - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
08.01.24	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
04.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
03.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Karolina Pliskova	2:1 ✺
03.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Camila Giorgi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guadalajara
19.09.23	Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide